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How to train your psychological?

How to train your psychological?

In this article, I present techniques on how to train your psychological strength in sports betting.

Forget bookmakers. False information. Exaggerated commissions. Bad luck. None of these enemies are as powerful as your mind.

by Josué Ramos   |   comments 0
Saturday, April 4 2020

I have lost count of how many bettors I have met who have lost fortunes for not being able to train their psychological strength in sports betting. And that goes for anything in our lives. Being it about investments, relationships, society, business or whatever. Without a prepared mind, you will make absurd mistakes and maybe not even realize it.

I know many gamblers who are unable to follow financial management done by themselves, their own rules are broken all the time. There is no point in having bank management, a defined strategy, a high amount of money and not having a strong and trained psychological to control the emotional factor.

Well, I didn't come here to talk about the main mistakes that every gambler makes, because almost every article that talks about the psychological factor, "beats around the bush" with it and gives no solution.

I've seen people giving advice on emotional control and not being able to keep their own bank safe from mistakes like that and I've also seen a lot of tipster, who don't have the "emotional involvement" in relation to a bank, writing about it.

To start, every gambler needs to have his rules, a strategy to be followed and an elaborate bank management, the "start" is given based on these principles. Because having a defined management and strategy is an obligation, but even with this basis, mistakes are still made, for what reason? Losses.

Everyone sets up a management and strategy to follow during the season, but they forget to set up a strategy for when they go through a "bad run", that is, a negative sequence. Many punters will tell you to simply do nothing, keep betting in the same way as before, but the strategies are different, the types of management are different and the markets too.

In trading, for example, the variance is much smaller than in the punter market, you have a greater range of possibilities to define a strategy to balance yourself in a "bad run".

In punter bets in the horse market, the variance is very high, and you need to know exactly your period of variance, and believe me, this is important, because this way you can stipulate the time to start applying the defense strategy that you have or just keep betting the same way. So you don't put your foot on the brake and stop betting during a bad run, on the contrary, you keep studying and betting the same way. To apply or not to apply a defense strategy, which almost always involves working with the acquired profit and doubling of stake based on variance, is up to the style or taste of the bettor. And this is a controversy, as there are several divergent opinions on this subject, practically what I see, are tipsters, brokers with one opinion and bettors with another, but I will deal with this mathematical controversy in another article.


The best strategy during a bad run is to do nothing.


Now, in the football market the variance is small and the negative sequence does not last for months, as in horse racing. In a logical order, your numbers set over years of betting will say a lot about you. Trusting them is an important part of the process, so you don't get into trouble. The most suitable strategy during a bad run is to do nothing, follow the same way, betting and investing the same amount of stake. One cannot be afraid to bet when the sequence is terrible, this can cause even greater stress.

Another factor that every bettor needs to keep in mind is not to bet based on the fact that a bet will be a winner, but on the investment value it has. So you have to relax. Missing a lot of bets is normal, having some negative streaks during the season is normal and you can't be hotheaded with that.


Maintaining annual management, I believe that relieves stress and anxiety due to withdrawals, relieves the expectation and tension that you place around the bets.



The aforementioned basis, about having a defined bank strategy and management, will make a difference when you are about to mess up, as having a number of limit units to be invested during a round can save your bank from some setbacks. You have to remember that all of this is a marathon and not a 100-meter run, so you can't be in a hurry, let alone be in a hurry to recover some lost money, because in bets nothing is recovered.
  1. We talk about many things, but we need to put all this in order so as not to get lost in the concept. To start, we need to have a defined bank management, where the balance is made by season, banking divided into units, based on a study on its variance and according to the needs of the stock market. However we have to remember a fact, your bank must have at least 4 times the value of its variance in units. If you have not done exhaustive tests before starting to bet for real, and do not know the value of your variance, you are already making a mistake.
  2. Second, you need to have a defined operating strategy. In this strategy, you must impose limits and basic rules that you will follow.
  3. The third step is to remember to never leave the strategy.  Because we all have to keep in mind that in a bank of 40 units, a negative sequence of 12 consecutive errors does not mean anything, you still have many units to invest.
  4. Another important fact is to always keep the same study on betting. The updating of this study only happens when the market needs it, in this case, as in horse racing, where we have an important variable, which are the seasons of the year and in each season, a different type of study is applied.
  5. Having defined rules for how to act, you just need to follow these rules to keep your system's gears spinning. If you leave this strategy you will be making a serious mistake. Knowing how to develop psychological strength in sports betting will have to be a basic rule defined by ourselves.

Over time you will be tempted to get out of your strategy constantly, just ignore any such temptation.

A basic betting strategy is to bet with a fixed stake, that is, always bet 1 unit per bet. Anyone starting out with bets should follow this strategy. Over time you will realize that there are other strategies, where we can define value according to trust, information, according to variance, but all the strategies you find, need to have a solid base and need someone capable of following simple rules, because more daring strategies need a very calm, cool and balanced mind. To be able to train your psychological skills in sports betting, it is necessary to have your feet on the ground to start with, not be crazy and know how to follow the rules without questioning them.


To have strong psychological control, you need to have your feet on the ground to start.


The big problem that I realize is that almost all beginners in betting want to make regular withdrawals, they cannot keep the money there for a long time. Too much anxiety and expectation about earnings is extremely detrimental to your work.

And it doesn't matter if you just want extra income from betting, you want money for the weekend, you want to be a professional someday, you want to pay for college. The concept is the same, I'm not here to instruct anyone who just wants to play while losing money. If you want to throw away some money, give charity to the less fortunate and not to the bookmakers.

I am here to help those who want to be helped, who share the same vision that any serious investor shares. We are here to make a profit in the long run, and to achieve that we have to follow rules. So if your management is not for the season, I advise you to change this concept now. Want money for the weekend? For ballads? Pay for college? Plant the seed now and harvest it in 12 months or at the end of your season, depending on the sport in question. The management has to be done by season and it doesn't matter if it lasts 12 months or 6 months, do it per season. It is a sacrifice that you need to make.

Another concept that needs to be broken down is to see money in your units. Simply see tokens. Each unit a chip. And bet without fear. Because if the money is there to be wagered, it is because you have no need for it right now.


Just see chips.


Redefining the value of the units during the season is the stupidest move to make, always remember that. And always separate the profit from the amount to be invested in the bank, this will make the whole process more organized and will prevent you from making other mistakes. What I mean here, is not to increase the value of the unit just because you are in profit, keep the management the same way you started.

And when the negative sequence period arrives, just ignore that fact and keep working the same way you were doing before. During this "bad run" period you tend to get more stressed, so do more relaxing activities. The problem is that our brain is stubborn. If I tell you not to think about an "elephant"... what are you thinking about right now?  Focusing on not thinking about the bad run will lead you to think about the damn reds. We soon need to demystify this negative sequence.

Come on:

What is a negative sequence?

That's exactly what the name says. It is a period of losses, it does not usually last long and if you do not contribute to causing more problems, you will lose few units. Your bank will continue with much more than the triple of units lost to rebuild, if you followed the basic rules of good management. One thing I like to think about, is that with each red I take, I'm closer to a green. Many will say that this thought is completely wrong, but I contest with all the mathematical basis that I have, but I will be brief.

It is something simple, the calculations for falling black or red on the roulette wheel or even heads or tails on the coin are of a type, so in this type of calculation, each event is unique and has the same possibilities to occur influenced by nothing but chance, however when it comes to betting on a sport where human beings have a direct interference in the result, things change and the calculation is different. For not only is the study of the event is different, as the bettor's own basis of choice can be taken into account in the calculation. After all, what is ROI, Winrate, Profit, for? Remember that variance is called that for some reason.

But unraveling everything, a negative sequence represents more wisdom gain than anything else. Learning how to deal with yourself during negative periods is priceless. It is in these periods that we mature. Perhaps that is why every bettor remembers the reds he took more than the bets he won.

My conclusion on this subject is that to indoctrinate the mind is to indoctrinate your attitudes. Creating a routine, following rules and training your psychological strength in sports betting helps to avoid mistakes that will lead to your financial ruin, because only knowing what would be a mistake helps not to commit it. And when we have rules and a routine, anything that deviates from what you usually do, represents an error and it is easy to differentiate right from wrong. Eureca!

A big hug to everyone! bad run, betting, control