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Betting suggestion:

As we can see, this is a match that should be marked by balance, as it was the other two times these teams met this year, in the 8th round of the first phase and in the first leg of the Carioca Championship final. On that occasion, the score was level, while in the last derby, already in the final, Flamengo even opened the scoring in the first half, but the other two goals, one for each side, only came in the final stretch of the second half, when things heated up. Therefore, we believe that this will be another very tight and tense match, especially in the first half, so that the net will hardly be scored more than once during this period.
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Preview
Flamengo and Fluminense meet at Estádio Figueira de Melo, in a 2nd leg match for the Carioca 1 (Championship ‑ Final). Flamengo got an away win by (1‑2) in the previous 1st leg match. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 19 head‑to‑heads they won 8, tied 6 and lost 5. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Carioca 1, on 13‑03‑2025, Flamengo won by (1‑2). Juninho Vieira (76' ) and Wesley (6' ) scored for Flamengo and Keno (88' ) for Fluminense. Flamengo registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Flamengo

This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins and 5 draws in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 5 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 7 Carioca 1 home matches Flamengo has a record of 5 wins and 2 losses.

They have won the last 5 home matches and haven't lost any of the last 11 matches for this competition. They have presented defensive consistency, since they have only suffered goals in 2 of the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition.

Flamengo come into this second leg of the 2025 Campeonato Carioca final motivated by their 2-1 victory in the first leg, even though they were playing as visitors. Now, relying on the presence and atmosphere of their fans, Flamengo have everything they need to confirm their second consecutive Campeonato Carioca title, further isolating themselves as the state's biggest champions (Flamengo have 38 trophies, compared to 33 for Fluminense, the second biggest winners). To do so, Flamengo need a simple draw, but the fans are certainly hoping for another victory over their great rival. It's worth remembering the team's record this year under Filipe Luís: ten wins and one draw in eleven matches, with 25 goals scored and only three conceded.

Confirmed Lineup: Agustín Rossi, Wesley Vinicius França Lima, Léo Ortiz, Alex Sandro, Léo Pereira, Nicolás De la Cruz, Gerson, Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Erick Pulgar, Luiz Araújo, Gonzalo Plata.
Coach: F. Kasmirski.

Analysis Fluminense

This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 6 Carioca 1 away matches Fluminense has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 14 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 23 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Fluminense come into this second leg of the Carioca Championship final shaken by the fact that they were unable to avoid defeat in the first leg, even though they were playing as hosts. Despite the two final matches being played in the same stadium, Fluminense's fans turned out in force to support the team in the first leg, but the only thing they managed to do was reduce the size of the deficit, as they went 2-0 down and managed to pull one back in the final minutes of the match. The goal kept Fluminense's hopes alive of getting at least a draw on aggregate to take the game to penalties, but they know how difficult it will be to be the first team to beat Filipe Luís' Flamengo this year, even more so when they play as visitors.

Confirmed Lineup: Fábio, Ignacio, Samuel Xavier, Renê, Thiago Silva, Otávio, Matheus Martinelli, Vinicius Lima, Germán Cano, Jhon Arias, Agustín Canobbio.
Coach: F. Diniz Silva.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Flamengo vs Fluminense match, on 16 March 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Under 1,5 goals 1st Half ⇒ bet available on 10bet.

The Flamengo vs Fluminense on 16 March 2025 will be played at Rio de Janeiro, Estádio Figueira de Melo.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Nigeria, for the Flamengo Fluminense match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Flamengo at with 90% of the tips.

 

Carioca 1 - 2025

  • 100% 78 / 78 Games

  • Home team wins 39.74%
  • Draws 32.05%
  • Away team wins 28.21%
  • Over 1.5 66.67%
  • Over 2.5 41.03%
  • Over 3.5 17.95%
  • Goals 170
  • Goals /match 2.18
  • Goals /match home 1.22
  • Goals /match away 0.96
  • Both teams score 43.59%
  • Goals after 80' 19.41%
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