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Nantong Zhiyun Qingdao West Coast betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Both teams urgently need to secure 3 points. Given their precarious situations, neither side has much to lose, and both are likely to take risks, as a draw would be detrimental for both. Considering the high defensive vulnerabilities of both teams, betting on goals is worth considering, particularly the "both teams to score" market, which is still priced around 1.50.
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Preview
Nantong Zhiyun and Qingdao West Coast meet , in a match for the 23th round of the CSL. Nantong Zhiyun got an away win by (0‑2), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑04‑2024. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Nantong Zhiyun

After 3 wins, 6 draws and 14 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 15 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Shanghai Shenhua by (5‑1), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Henan Songshan Longmen. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 41 conceded; against 1 win, 3 draws and 11 losses at their stadium, with 8 goals scored and 24 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Nantong Zhiyun has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 30 possible.

They haven’t won any of the last 9 home matches for this competition. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 8 of their last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have never been able to turn the score around. there are 2 periods that stand out in the last 11 home matches for this competition: they have scored 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (31'‑45') and 3 of their 7 goals between (76'‑90').

Nantong has once again lost and is sinking deeper into a losing streak. After five consecutive defeats, including a heavy 8-1 loss, Nantong had shown a glimmer of hope with a 1-1 draw against Henan. However, in their last match, they suffered another heavy defeat, this time 5-1 against Shanghai Shenhua. Life is increasingly difficult for David Patrício, who seems unable to find a solution to Nantong's crisis. With only 15 points and continuing to lose, Nantong is dropping further down the league table. They are now 5 points away from the last safe spot in this Chinese Super League.
 
The defeat against Shanghai Shenhua was anticipated, given the significant disparity in team quality. However, in this 23rd round, Nantong faces a crucial match against Qingdao West Coast, a direct rival in the battle to avoid relegation. Qingdao West Coast is currently positioned just above Nantong, with 4 more points. This game is almost a "final" for Nantong; if they cannot find a way to respond against Qingdao West Coast, it will be very difficult for them to avoid relegation.

Confirmed Lineup: Xue Qinghao, Xin Luo, Wei Liu , Izuchukwu Jude Anthony, Kang Cao, Yang Mingyang, Zilei Jiang, Farley Rosa, José Godínez, Issa Kallon, Lu Yongtao.
Coach: Y. Shinoda.

Analysis Qingdao West Coast

The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 19 points won, after 4 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Cangzhou, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Beijing Guoan, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 23 matches they register 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 2 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 19 goals scored and 23 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (2‑1) against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. In the last 10 away league matches Qingdao West Coast has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 losses in the last away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 10 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 4 of their 10 goals between minutes (0'‑15').

Qingdao West Coast will be one of the teams fighting hard until the final matchday to avoid relegation. Alongside Nantong, Qingdao West Coast has struggled the most with adversity. In the last five rounds, Qingdao West Coast has managed only 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss. This record is insufficient given the urgent need for points to escape the relegation zone. 
 
The situation worsens when considering their away performances. In their last five away games, Qingdao West Coast has lost four, including a heavy 7-0 defeat at Chengdu Rongcheng. In those four losses, they conceded 13 goals, highlighting their ongoing defensive vulnerabilities that make it difficult to turn their results around. 
 
In this 23rd round, Qingdao West Coast will travel to Nantong. This match presents a critical opportunity for them to secure a win and potentially move out of the relegation zone. Nantong is a direct rival in the battle for survival and currently facing more difficulties. While this game is crucial for Nantong, it is equally important for Qingdao West Coast, despite being an away fixture.

Confirmed Lineup: Xiaotian Shi, Yangyang Jin, Longhai He, Chen Yuhao, Varazdat Haroyan, Indio, Abduklijan Merdanjan, Gang Feng, Nelson Luz, Jean-David Beauguel, Alan.
Coach: J. Shao.

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CSL - 2024

  • 100% 240 / 240 Games

  • Home team wins 46.25%
  • Draws 22.92%
  • Away team wins 30.83%
  • Over 1.5 77.5%
  • Over 2.5 58.33%
  • Over 3.5 40.83%
  • Goals 750
  • Goals /match 3.13
  • Goals /match home 1.8
  • Goals /match away 1.33
  • Both teams score 56.25%
  • Goals after 80' 19.33%
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