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Independiente Valle Libertad betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The match between Independiente del Valle and Libertad promises to be highly tactical, with both teams carefully evaluating each move and prioritizing control of the game. Given this scenario of caution and adjustments, the betting tip is for under 2.5 goals. The expectation is for a balanced match, with moderate attacking opportunities and a focus on defensive consistency from both sides.
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Preview
Ind. del Valle and Libertad face at Estadio Banco Guayaquil, in a match for this stage of the Liga Pro (Championship Round). The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 7 matches they won 3, tied 3 and lost 1. Libertad registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Ind. del Valle

The home team is currently in the 2nd position of the league, with 10 points won, after 21 wins, 11 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Orense, by (0‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against LDU Quito, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded; against 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 11 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Ind. del Valle has a record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss, so they have won 19 points out of 30 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 9 of their 36 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 5.

Independiente del Valle reaches the end of the season with nothing left to prove, but with the ambition to maintain seriousness and consistency until the last round. After succumbing away from home against LDU Quito, the team learned from its mistakes and seeks to regain their rhythm in front of their fans. Now, against Libertad, the scenario promises to be more favorable, and the team intends to impose their control of the game, showing that, even without rushing, the team approaches each match with maximum dedication. It's time to close the season with professionalism and confidence, honoring the club's name in the field.

Confirmed Lineup: Guido Villar, Layan Loor, Richard Schunke, Mateo Carabajal, Matías Fernández, Jordy Alcívar, Justin Lerma, Ronald Briones, Patrik Mercado, Renato Ibarra, Claudio Spinelli.
Coach: J. Gandolfi.

Analysis Libertad

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 6 points won, after 13 wins, 13 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Universidad Católica, by (1‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Barcelona Guayaquil, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Libertad has a record of 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑0 (7 out of 18 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (7 out of 18 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 13 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 37 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 21 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 18 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 13 of their 28 goals between minutes (76'‑90'); they have conceded 23 of their 40 goals between minutes (46'‑60').

Libertad finally secured their place in the Copa Sudamericana, but they arrive at this challenge against Independiente del Valle going through an uncomfortable winless streak. Confidence needs to be rebuilt, and every detail of the game will take on weight, especially away from home, where the path promises to be even more difficult. The team knows they will need strategy, concentration, and courage to face an opponent that will give them no space. It's time to reinvent plays, correct mistakes, and show that, even under pressure, they have the stamina and talent to break the negative streak and seek a positive result.

Confirmed Lineup: Leonel Nazareno, Kevin Becerra, Ariel García, Ronny Biojó, Orlin Quiñónez, Iván Zambrano, Jean Humanante, Carlos Arboleda, Wilter Ayoví, Yerlin Quiñónez, Nestor Caicedo.
Coach: A. Vélez Ordoñez.

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Liga Pro - 2025

  • 100% 311 / 312 Games

  • Home team wins 41.16%
  • Draws 28.94%
  • Away team wins 29.9%
  • Over 1.5 72.99%
  • Over 2.5 45.66%
  • Over 3.5 26.37%
  • Goals 793
  • Goals /match 2.55
  • Goals /match home 1.41
  • Goals /match away 1.14
  • Both teams score 52.09%
  • Goals after 80' 22.19%
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