Mushuc Runa Libertad betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Both teams are going through difficult times in the Ecuadorian Championship, but Mushuc Runa is in a more critical situation, coming off three consecutive losses and mired in the relegation zone. Libertad has also been inconsistent, but has shown a more competitive performance in recent rounds. Facing a weakened opponent and playing with pressure on their backs, the best bet is a Libertad win or draw.
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Preview
Mushuc Runa and Libertad meet at Estadio del Mushuc Runa Sporting Club, in a match for the 24th round of the Liga Pro. Libertad got a home win by (2‑1), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 19‑04‑2025. The recent head‑to‑head record favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Mushuc Runa

After 4 wins, 5 draws and 14 losses, the home team is in the 16th position, havinf won 17 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against LDU Quito by (2‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑1) at home, against Técnico Universitario. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. For the league, Mushuc Runa won 11 points out of 30 possible points, after 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the last 10 home matches.

They haven’t won any of the last 12 matches for this competition. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 16 of their 23 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

It's far from being a proud season in the Ecuadorian Championship. Mushuc Runa continues to face several challenges in asserting itself, and this has been the main obstacle to overcome in this time of intense pressure. Currently in the relegation zone and with three consecutive losses, they will need to change their approach if they want to approach this new challenge with any chance of beating Libertad at home.

Confirmed Lineup: Rodrigo Formento, Bryan Bentaberry, Kevin Peralta, Dennis Quintero, Ángel Gracia, Luis Arce, Steven Tapiero Rodallega, Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas, Robert Burbano, Cristian Penilla, Bagner Delgado.
Coach: A. Vélez Ordoñez.

Analysis Libertad

The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 34 points won, after 9 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against El Nacional, by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Emelec, by (1‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Libertad has a record of 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 12 points out of 30 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑0 (4 out of 11 matches) and after the 90' 1‑1 (4 out of 11 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 8 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 23 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 15 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Libertad, on the other hand, struggled on the field and had to deal with pressure that's likely to increase if their performance doesn't improve in the Ecuadorian Championship. The team's momentum was halted by Emelec in the previous round, and now, away from home, they'll need to impose themselves from the opening minutes of this match against the bottom of the table. Away from home, it's time to exploit the spaces in search of a much-needed comeback.

Confirmed Lineup: Leonel Nazareno, Jimmy Bolaños Cervantes, Alan Ariel García Jama, Ronny Biojo, Kevin Becerra Wila, Ivan Zambrano, Yery Jostin Bravo Gurumendi, Eber Caicedo Peralta, Carlos Arboleda, Wilter Ayoví Mina, Yerlin Josué Quiñónez Nazareno.
Coach: A. Vélez Ordoñez.

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Liga Pro - 2025

  • 84% 201 / 240 Games

  • Home team wins 41.29%
  • Draws 29.35%
  • Away team wins 29.35%
  • Over 1.5 72.14%
  • Over 2.5 45.27%
  • Over 3.5 25.87%
  • Goals 513
  • Goals /match 2.55
  • Goals /match home 1.39
  • Goals /match away 1.16
  • Both teams score 55.22%
  • Goals after 80' 17.15%
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