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Aston Villa Burnley betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this game is that Aston Villa will win. Playing at home and with the support of their fans, the locals have more individual and collective arguments to make the difference. It's important to note that Burnley have lost every game they've played away from home. So expect the home side to impose their superiority and take all three points.
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Preview
Aston Villa and Burnley face at Villa Park, in a match for the 7th round of the Premier League. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 1 and tied 2. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Premier League, on 30‑12‑2023, Aston Villa won by (3‑2). Leon Bailey (28' ), Douglas Luiz (89' ) and Moussa Diaby (42' ) scored for Aston Villa and Zeki Amdouni (31' ) and Lyle Foster (71' ) for Burnley. Aston Villa registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Aston Villa

The home team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 6 points won, after 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Sunderland, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Fulham, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 30 goals scored and 12 conceded. They come to this match after a away win against Feyenoord by (0‑2). Aston Villa has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1 of the last 10 home matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Aston Villa go into this match on the back of a 0-2 win over Feyenoord in a Europa League tie. Last time out in the Premier League, the locals beat Fulham 3-1. The home side usually play in a 4-3-3 formation, favouring quick transitions and attacking preferably through the side corridors. The three most advanced players will be Emiliano Buendía, Evann Guessand and Ollie Watkins. Whenever they get the chance to attack, the home team should favour the right flank, taking advantage of the depth provided by full-back Matty Cash. Jadon Sancho, Youri Tielemans and Amadou Onana are all out injured.

Confirmed Lineup: Emiliano Martínez, Matty Cash, Lucas Digne, Pau Torres, Lamare Bogarde, Ezri Konsa, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Boubacar Kamara, Donyell Malen, Ollie Watkins.
Coach: U. Emery Etxegoien.

Analysis Burnley

The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 4 points won, after 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Nottingham Forest, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Manchester City, by (5‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 23 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Burnley has won 5, tied 1 and lost 4. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 5 of the last 6 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times but have turned the score around in 3.

Burnley go into this match on the back of a 5-1 defeat at Manchester City: the only goal of the game was scored by Jaidon Anthony. The visiting team usually play in a 5-2-3 formation, with Loum Tchaouna, Lyle Foster and Jaidon Anthony taking centre stage in attack, acting as the main attacking references. When they go on the offensive, they usually do so via the right flank, taking advantage of the depth provided by centre-back Kyle Walker. Zeki Amdouni, Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer are all out injured.

Confirmed Lineup: Martin Dúbravka, Axel Tuanzebe, Quilindschy Hartman, Maxime Estève, Kyle Walker, Josh Cullen , Florentino, Josh Laurent, Lyle Foster, Loum Tchaouna, Jaidon Anthony.
Coach: S. Dyche.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Aston Villa vs Burnley match, on 5 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Aston Villa wins ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Aston Villa vs Burnley on 5 October 2025 will be played at Birmingham, Villa Park.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Nigeria, for the Aston Villa Burnley match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Aston Villa at with 83% of the tips.

 

Premier League - 2025/2026

  • 18% 70 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 48.57%
  • Draws 25.71%
  • Away team wins 25.71%
  • Over 1.5 75.71%
  • Over 2.5 52.86%
  • Over 3.5 25.71%
  • Goals 182
  • Goals /match 2.6
  • Goals /match home 1.5
  • Goals /match away 1.1
  • Both teams score 52.86%
  • Goals after 80' 22.53%
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