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Olympique Marseille Monaco betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match is that there will be several goals. While the home team certainly possesses more individual quality, they have shown some defensive vulnerability in recent games. It's worth noting that the "Over 2.5 Goals" market has been successful in 86% of Marseille's home games. Therefore, a high-score game with opportunities for both sides is expected.
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Preview
Marseille and Monaco face at Stade Vélodrome, in a match for the 16th round of the Ligue 1. In 7 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 3, tied 2 and lost 2. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 12‑04‑2025, and ended in a (3‑0) win by Monaco. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Marseille

After 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, the home team is in the 3rd position, havinf won 29 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against LOSC Lille by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have tied (2‑2) at home, against Toulouse. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in away matches; against 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss at their stadium. They come to this match after a away win against Union Saint‑Gilloise by (2‑3). For the league, Marseille won 17 points out of 21 possible points, after 5 wins and 2 draws in the last 7 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 7 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 22 of the last 25 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 7 of their 15 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 2.

Marseille comes for this match after a 2-3 victory away to USG in the Champions League. In their last Ligue 1 match, they lost 1-0 to Lille. The home team usually lines up in a 4-3-3 tactical formation, favoring a balanced style of play focused on quick transitions. The main attacking threats will be Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Igor Paixão, and Mason Greenwood, while midfielder Arthur Vermeeren is responsible for organizing the plays and dictating the team's rhythm. Hamed Traoré, Facundo Medina, and Amine Gouiri are all unavailable for this match due to injury.

Confirmed Lineup: Gerónimo Rulli, Amir Murillo , Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Arthur Vermeeren, Mason Greenwood, Timothy Weah, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Coach: André Villas-Boas.

Analysis Monaco

The away team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 23 points won, after 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Paris Saint Germain, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Brest, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 30 conceded; against 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 17 conceded. In their last match, for the UEFA Champions League, they got a home win against Galatasaray by (1‑0). In the last 7 away league matches Monaco has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 21 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (3 out of 7 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 15 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 14 of their 40 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Monaco comes for this match after a 1-0 victory at home against Galatasaray in the Champions League. In their last Ligue 1 match, they lost 1-0 to Brest. The visiting team usually lines up in a 4-3-3 tactical formation, with Aleksandr Golovin, Maghnes Akliouche, and Folarin Balogun leading the attack. In midfield, Takumi Minamino plays a crucial role in building play, dictating the tempo and orchestrating the team's offensive moves. Eric Dier, Ansu Fati, and Christian Mawissa are all unavailable for this match due to injuries.

Confirmed Lineup: Lukas Hradecky, Vanderson, Mohammed Salisu, Caio Henrique, Thilo Kehrer, Lamine Camara, Denis Zakaria, Aleksandr Golovin, Takumi Minamino, Maghnes Akliouche, Folarin Balogun.
Coach: K. Schmidt.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Marseille vs Monaco match, on 14 December 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Marseille vs Monaco on 14 December 2025 will be played at Marseille, Stade Vélodrome.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Nigeria, for the Marseille Monaco match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Marseille at with 93% of the tips.

 

Ligue 1 - 2025/2026

  • 40% 144 / 360 Games

  • Home team wins 51.39%
  • Draws 21.53%
  • Away team wins 27.08%
  • Over 1.5 68.06%
  • Over 2.5 51.39%
  • Over 3.5 33.33%
  • Goals 411
  • Goals /match 2.85
  • Goals /match home 1.72
  • Goals /match away 1.14
  • Both teams score 48.61%
  • Goals after 80' 22.63%
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