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Excelsior Cambuur betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This promises to be a very interesting duel in the 12th round of the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, as Excelsior will take the lead if they win and have won all their home matches so far. The home team has the best attack in the league and an average of 3.4 goals scored per game as hosts, but they will have to overcome Cambuur and their best defense in the league, which has only conceded 0.6 goals per game away from home. In addition, it will be the meeting between the teams that have scored the most goals in the competition. Given this scenario, we will bet on Over 2.75 Asian Goals, a line that has been met in the 5 games that Excelsior has played at home.
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Preview
Excelsior and Cambuur face at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in a match for the 12th round of the Eerste Divisie. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the away team, since they have a record of 2 wins and 1 loss in the last 3 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 19‑03‑2023, in a match for the Eredivisie, Excelsior won by (4‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Kenzo Goudmijn (6' ), Siebe Horemans (20' ), Lazaros Lamprou (33' ) and Leon Bergsma (10' Autogolo), for Excelsior, and by Alex Bangura (50' ), for Cambuur. Although this is a match between 3rd and 16th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 1st best in home matches and the 7th best in away matches.

Analysis Excelsior

Excelsior started the round in 3rd place, with 23 points won, after 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they won at home against MVV Maastricht by (3‑2). In the last match, they won in an away match against Jong PSV by (1‑3). This is a team that usually plays better at home, since they have won 15 points in their stadium, with 17 goals scored and 7 conceded, against 5 points away, where they have scored 12 goals and conceded 10.
 
In this competition, they have won the last 5 home matches. They have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, so they have not been very strong defensively, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches in this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 14 of the 20 matches have ended with Over 2.5 goals. In 11 games in this competition, they have managed to turn the score around in 2 of the 4 games in which they conceded the first goal.
 
Excelsior are the big favorites to win this 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, according to the long-term markets of the bookmakers, and will be able to take the lead in this round if they win their game and Helmond, who are in 1st place, are defeated. Excelsior arrives on the back of 2 consecutive wins and, above all, they have the best performance among the home teams, as they are the only team to have won all their home matches (5 wins in 5 games). In addition, they have the best attack in the league (29 goals scored in 11 rounds, with 17 goals scored in 5 matches at home). The team is the competition's top scorer (17.5 shots per round) and the third team with the most shots on goal (an average of 6.3 shots on goal per game). Coach Ruben den Uil has no known absences and could repeat the previous lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, with highlights for midfielder Noah Naujoks, who is among the leaders in assists in this Eerste Divisie (5 assists in 11 appearances), and also Swedish striker Richie Omorowa, the championship's second top scorer (8 goals scored in 10 matches played).
 

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Casper Widell, Django Warmerdam, Ilias Bronkhorst, Kik Pierie, Lennard Hartjes, Noah Naujoks, Zach Booth, Seydou Fini, Richie Omorowa, Derensili Sanches Fernandes.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

Analysis Cambuur

After 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses, Cambuur came into this round in 16th position, having won 13 points. In the last match, they won at home against FC Eindhoven by (2‑0), after in the previous match they lost at home, in a match against FC Volendam, by (1‑2). Interestingly, this is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since they have won 9 points in away matches and only 1 at their stadium. Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (0‑1) against VVV‑Venlo. In the last 5 away league matches Cambuur has a record of 3 wins and 2 losses, having won 9 points out of 15 possible. In 11 matches for this competition, they have never been able to turn the score around in the 6 games in which they have conceded the first goal.
 
Interestingly, Cambuur is the team that has been involved in the least number of goals in this 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, as it has the third worst attack (10 goals scored), but it also has the best defense in the league (10 goals conceded in 11 rounds). The club is trying to achieve a second consecutive victory for the first time this season, but specifically away from home, it has won its last 2 games and not conceded a goal, which contributes to it having the best away defense (3 goals conceded in 5 away games). Cambuur has the third highest average possession rate in the competition (58%) and has therefore become the second highest scorer in the championship (an average of 17.2 shots per round). The team is also among the leaders in clean sheets (5 matches without conceding a goal). Coach Henk de Jong has no known absences and could even repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-3-3 tactical scheme, with a highlight on Thijs Jansen, who in addition to being one of the leaders in clean sheets (with 5 of 11 performances without conceding a goal) is also the second goalkeeper with the fewest goals conceded in the championship (rate of 0.9 goals conceded per game).

Confirmed Lineup: Thijs Jansen, Tyrique Mercera, Bryant Nieling, Thomas Poll, Jeremy van Mullem, Matthias Nartey, Mark Diemers, Benjamin Pauwels, Remco Balk, Ilias Alhaft, Michael de Leeuw.
Coach: H. de Jong.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Excelsior vs Cambuur match, on 26 October 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Asian (Over/Under) Total of Goals, Over 2.75 Goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Excelsior vs Cambuur on 26 October 2024 will be played at Rotterdam, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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