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Willem II Ajax II betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Expect this match to be quite one-sided. The Willem II, the clear leader in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024 season, boasting the second-best attack and the second-best defense in the competition, hosts Jong Ajax, which, in turn, has yet to secure an away victory and is, in fact, the third-worst away team, having conceded the most goals when playing away from their stadium. However, there's a sense of revenge as Willem II's last defeat in the league was precisely against Jong Ajax, away, with a score of (1-0) on 06-11-2023, in the 13th round of this competition. Since then, Willem II has achieved 7 victories and 1 draw in the league, while Jong Ajax has accumulated 4 victories and 4 draws. Anticipate the home team proving its superiority on the field. Therefore, we'll bet on Willem II's Half-Time Asian Handicap -0.5, expecting the Eerste Divisie leader to secure a victory in the first 45 minutes, a period in which Jong Ajax has conceded 18 of the 32 goals away from home this season.
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Preview
Willem II and Ajax meet at Koning Willem II Stadion, in a match for the 22th round of the Eerste Divisie. Jong Ajax got a home win by (1‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 06‑11‑2023. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 3 matches they won 2 and lost 1. Ajax registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Willem II

After 15 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 1st position, havinf won 45 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against TOP Oss by (0‑5), after in the previous match they have won (1‑2) an away match against NAC Breda. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive levels in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 12 wins and 3 losses at their stadium. For the league, Willem II won 27 points out of 30 possible points, after 9 wins and 1 loss in the last 10 home matches.

They have won the last 8 home matches for this competition. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑1 (4 out of 10 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 21 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times, but have turned the score around in 5. there is 1 period that stands out in the last 10 home matches for this competition: they have suffered 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

Willem II is undoubtedly the standout team in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024 season. Besides holding a commanding lead with an 8-point advantage over the second-placed team and a 9-point lead over the first club outside the promotion zone to the next Eredivisie, Willem II boasts the best home record, the second-best attack, and the second-best defense in the league, along with a clean sheet record. They have earned 27 points in 10 home performances, scoring 46 goals and conceding only 18 in 21 league games. At home, they maintain an incredible average of 2.6 goals per game. In this competition, Willem II has an impressive unbeaten streak of 8 rounds with 7 victories and 1 draw. In their stadium, they have won the last 8 Eerste Divisie fixtures. To add to their strengths, Belgian coach Peter Maes has no absentees and can field the same starting lineup, highlighting Joshua Smits, one of the league's goalkeeping clean sheet record-holders with a total of 7 games without conceding, and right-back Tommy St. Jago, the division's top tackler with an average of 3.3 tackles per game.

Confirmed Lineup: Joshua Smits, Erik Schouten, Raffael Behounek, Valentino Vermeulen, Tommy St Jago, Matthias Verreth, Jesse Bosch, Ringo Meerveld, Nick Doodeman, Michael De Leeuw, Jeremy Bokila.
Coach: P. Maes.

Analysis Ajax

The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Jong PSV, by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against FC Eindhoven, by (2‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 21 goals scored and 37 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Ajax has a record of 4 draws and 6 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 4 draws in the last away matches and they haven't won any of the last 11 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 10 of the last 11 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 20 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 11 away matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Jong Ajax has gone unbeaten for 8 rounds in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024 season, securing 4 victories and 4 draws. However, remarkably, they have yet to secure a win away from home this season, managing only 4 draws and suffering 7 defeats in 11 away performances. This places them as the third-worst away team in the entire league. Additionally, with 32 goals conceded in 11 away matches, Jong Ajax is the team that has conceded the most goals on the road in the championship. Interestingly, the team highly values ball control and likes to dictate the game, boasting the third-highest average possession in the competition at 54.6% per match. Coach Dave Vos has no absentees and can field the same starting lineup, with emphasis on midfielder Gabriel Misehouy, the second-highest shooter in the league with an average of 3.4 shots per game. He has scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists in 11 appearances.

Confirmed Lineup: Tom Gerard de Graaff, Olivier Aertssen, Nick Verschuren, Anass Salah-Eddine, Nassef Chourak, Gabriel Osei Misehouy, Oualid Agougil, Julian Christiaan Brandes, Jaydon Amauri Banel, David Kalokoh, Raphaël Boakye Sarfo.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Willem II vs Ajax match, on 19 January 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Asian Handicap Half time, Willem II -0.5 ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Willem II vs Ajax on 19 January 2024 will be played at Tilburg, Koning Willem II Stadion.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Nigeria, for the Willem II Ajax match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Willem II at with 100% of the tips.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2023/2024

  • 100% 379 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.65%
  • Draws 25.07%
  • Away team wins 29.29%
  • Over 1.5 82.32%
  • Over 2.5 60.16%
  • Over 3.5 35.36%
  • Goals 1155
  • Goals /match 3.05
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.35
  • Both teams score 60.16%
  • Goals after 80' 17.23%
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