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Melgar Atlético Grau betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The match between Melgar and Grau is likely to be very tight, with both teams looking to control the game. The recommended bet is “Over 2.5 goals”. Melgar, playing at home, have good attacking power and should look to attack with intensity, while Grau can take advantage of opportunities to score. With both teams showing good attacking ability, the tendency is for the match to end with more than 2.5 goals on the scoreboard.

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Preview
Melgar and Grau meet at Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín, in a match for the 13th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and tied 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 24‑09‑2024, they tied (0‑0). Melgar registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Melgar

After 7 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 23 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Cienciano by (1‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) at home, against Comerciantes Unidos. This is a team that, oddly enough, has had better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in away matches; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium. In their last match, for the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, they got an away win against Academia Puerto Cabello by (0‑1). In the last 6 home league matches Melgar has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, so they have won 13 points out of 18 possible. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 10 matches for this competition. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Despite their fluctuations in recent games, Melgar are still firmly in the hunt for the top spot in the Peruvian league and are in a good position to bounce back. Playing at home, they usually set a strong tempo from the first few minutes and tend to take control of the match. The team knows how important it is to get the three points to stay in the top three. The expectation is for a more consistent performance, with greater defensive attention and objectivity in attack. For all these reasons, they are favorites for this match.

Confirmed Lineup: J. Cabezudo Ormeño, Pier Barrios, Alejandro Ramos, M. Llontop Díaz, Leonel González, Walter Tandazo, Alexis Arias, Horacio Orzan, Carlos Liza, Lautaro Guzmán, Kenji Giovanni Cabrera Nakamura.
Coach: N. Lorenzo.

Analysis Grau

The away team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 11 points won, after 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Sport Huancayo, by (3‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Alianza Lima, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, they got an away tie against Sportivo Luqueño by (1‑1). In the last 5 away league matches Grau has a record of 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 15 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 5 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In the last 17 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 21 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Atlético Grau are going through a difficult time this season, with poor results and performances that leave something to be desired. The team needs to react as soon as possible so as not to fall further behind. Playing away from home and against strong opposition, they know they will have to show more competitive and balanced soccer. The challenge is great, but a good team performance can make the difference. The initial goal must be to avoid mistakes and look for space on counter-attacks to try to surprise.

Confirmed Lineup: Patricio Álvarez, Jose Bolivar, Fabio Rojas, Jeremy Martin Rostaing, Rodrigo Tapia, Elsar Rodas, César Vásquez, Diego Soto, Rodrigo Vilca, Rafael Guarderas, Raúl Ruidíaz.
Coach: Á. Comizzo.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Melgar vs Grau match, on 19 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Over 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Melgar vs Grau on 19 May 2025 will be played at Arequipa, Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustín.

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 88% 253 / 288 Games

  • Home team wins 46.64%
  • Draws 26.88%
  • Away team wins 26.48%
  • Over 1.5 72.33%
  • Over 2.5 49.41%
  • Over 3.5 26.88%
  • Goals 661
  • Goals /match 2.61
  • Goals /match home 1.58
  • Goals /match away 1.03
  • Both teams score 50.59%
  • Goals after 80' 20.88%
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