AVS Gil Vicente betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

AVS will have to take more risks or risk remaining a “lukewarm team” and end up dropping down a division. At home they have an “obligation” to go further and this could lead to a more “entertaining” game with goals, not least because (1-1) has been the result most often seen in AVS games. Gil Vicente have already proven their ability to score, so the “both score” market makes perfect sense here.
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Preview
AVS and Gil Vicente face at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, in a match for the 19th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 16‑08‑2024, Gil Vicente got a home win by (4‑2). The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 17th and 9th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 14th best team in home matches and the 14th best in away matches.

Analysis AVS

The home team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 2 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Moreirense, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Nacional, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually plays better at home, where they have won 10 points, against only 5 points in away matches. In the last 9 home league matches AVS has a record of 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 27 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 13 matches. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 0‑0 (4 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 9 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 4 of the last 18 matches for the Primeira Liga, and have never reached half‑time in advantage. They have conceded the first goal in 11 of their 18 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around.

The AVS team is already in the relegation zone, in 17th place. With 15 points to their name and equal on points with the last-placed team, Daniel Ramos' men ended a run of five consecutive draws with a 3-1 defeat against Nacional. When it is said in soccer jargon that “to draw is to score”, it has to do with how little or no advantage there is in picking up a point, especially when direct competitors win here and there. This is happening to AVS, who have taken 5 points from 5 games, but the first time they lost they fell into the relegation zone. The Minho side urgently need to win a game, not just to gain confidence, but above all because a win will give them as many points as they get from drawing three consecutive games. This game against Gil Vicente could bring that opportunity that all AVS fans have been waiting for.

Confirmed Lineup: Guillermo Ochoa, Cristian David Castro Devenish, Fernando Fonseca, Nacho Rodríguez, Aderllan Leandro de Jesus Santos, Rafa Rodrigues, Gustavo Henrique Giordano Amaro Assunção da Silva, Jaume Grau Ciscar, Rodrigo Ribeiro, John Mercado, José Luís Mendes Andrade.
Coach: J. Costa Almeida.

Analysis Gil Vicente

The away team is currently in the 9th position of the league, with 22 points won, after 5 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Rio Ave, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Porto, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 6 points in away matches and 16 at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 8 conceded at home, against 7 goals scored and 19 conceded in away matches. In the last 9 away league matches Gil Vicente has a record of 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 6 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 18 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Gil Vicente are still a very “straightforward” team, as they say. They've been alternating draws with wins, so they're sitting pretty in 9th place on 22 points, seven clear of the relegation places. Gil Vicente come into this clash with AVS having beaten FC Porto in a clear and characterful victory. In that match Gil Vicente showed not only defensive competence, but also “enough weapons” to hurt their opponents. We don't know if they'll maintain the same level against AVS, but if they do, the “roosters of Barcelos” will naturally be favorites to win.

Confirmed Lineup: Andrew da Silva Ventura, Rúben Fernandes, José Carlos Teixeira Lopes dos Reis Gonçalves, Sandro Cruz, Josué Humberto Gonçalves Leal de Sá, Kanya Fujimoto, Mory Gbane, Facundo Agustín Cáseres, Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus, Félix Correia, Tidjany Chabrol Touré.
Coach: I. Abreu Vieira.

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Primeira Liga - 2024/2025

  • 100% 306 / 306 Games

  • Home team wins 43.14%
  • Draws 25.82%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 73.53%
  • Over 2.5 49.02%
  • Over 3.5 25.49%
  • Goals 786
  • Goals /match 2.57
  • Goals /match home 1.4
  • Goals /match away 1.17
  • Both teams score 48.69%
  • Goals after 80' 17.68%
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