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Nacional Tondela betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Nacional need to win this match but know they will have to adopt a cautious approach, as they face a side that is adept at exploiting any space given. Nacional recently lost 0-1 to Famalicão, a team that also defend very well. Therefore, against Tondela, and knowing that a draw would be a positive result for the visitors, a low-scoring game is expected.

Sugestão do editor

Under 2,5 goals

Odd 1.65

Bet here
Odds may vary. Gamble responsibly: 18+ age limit, GambleAware.org. T&Cs apply.
Preview
Warning: Match postponed! This preview was written for the original match date: 13.Dec.2025 16:30
Nacional and Tondela face at Estádio da Madeira, in a match for the 14th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 4 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 1 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Segunda Liga, on 06‑01‑2024, they tied (1‑1). Gustavo Da Silva Cunha (26' ) scored for Nacional and Roberto (76' ) for Tondela. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Nacional

The home team is currently in the 14th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in a home match against Benfica, by (1‑2). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Alverca, by (1‑0). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses at their stadium, with 21 goals scored and 29 conceded. For the league, Nacional won 3 points out of 18 possible points, after 1 win and 5 losses in the last 6 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 12 of the last 18 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Nacional come into this encounter in the worst form of their season. Until recently, the Madeira side had been consistent and comfortably clear of the relegation zone. However, they suffered defeats in the last two rounds, first at home to Benfica (1-2) and then away to Alverca (0-1). With these two losses, Tiago Margarido’s side have now gone five consecutive games without a win. A response is expected in this match against Tondela.

Confirmed Lineup: Kaique, Lucas França, L. Vallier, Alan Nuñez, Léo Santos, Ze Vitor, Francisco Gonçalves, Liziero, Miguel Baeza, Joel Silva, Deivison, Chiheb Labidi, André Sousa, Matheus Dias, Witi, Jesús Ramírez, Lucas João, Paulinho Bóia, Martim Gustavo Watts, Motez Nourani.
Coach: F. Nunes Cândido.

Analysis Tondela

The away team is currently in the 16th position of the league, with 9 points won, after 2 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in an away match against Gil Vicente, by (0‑1). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Porto, by (0‑2). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 7 away league matches Tondela has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 21 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 3 of the last 13 matches for the Primeira Liga, they have reached half‑time in front in 1 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Tondela reacted well to the departure of Ivo Vieira and the arrival of C. Bacci. The Italian manager won his debut match against Gil Vicente but lost in his very next game against FC Porto (0-2). Even so, the Beira side responded positively, showing good character at times and creating opportunities to achieve a better result. Nevertheless, they were once again a cautious team with a strong defensive focus, something that is expected to continue at Estádio da Choupana against Nacional.

Confirmed Lineup: Bernardo, Lucas Cañizares, Brayan Medina, Rémy Vita, Tiago Manso, João Afonso, Christian Marques, Nor Maviram, André Ceitil, Hugo Félix, Juanse, Yaya Sithole, Hélder Tavares , Joe Hodge, Rony Lopes, Ivan Cavaleiro, Yefrei Rodríguez, Jordan, Maranhão, Moudjatovic.
Coach: C. Bacci.

Sugestão do editor

Under 2,5 goals

Odd 1.65

Bet here
Odds may vary. Gamble responsibly: 18+ age limit, GambleAware.org. T&Cs apply.
NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Nacional vs Tondela match, on 15 December 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Nacional vs Tondela on 15 December 2025 will be played at Ilha da Madeira, Estádio da Madeira.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy Nigeria, for the Nacional Tondela match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Nacional at with 78% of the tips.

 

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Most Popular Predictions

Primeira Liga - 2025/2026

  • 40% 123 / 307 Games

  • Home team wins 35.77%
  • Draws 26.02%
  • Away team wins 38.21%
  • Over 1.5 78.86%
  • Over 2.5 51.22%
  • Over 3.5 26.83%
  • Goals 329
  • Goals /match 2.67
  • Goals /match home 1.39
  • Goals /match away 1.28
  • Both teams score 43.9%
  • Goals after 80' 17.63%
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