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Atlético Madrid Real Madrid betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be for both teams to score at least one goal. While a tight encounter is expected, Atlético Madrid is playing at home and will have to do everything they can to secure another victory. It's worth noting that the "Both Teams to Score – Yes" market has won ten of the last eleven matches between the two teams and Atlético Madrid's last three.
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Preview
Atlético and Real Madrid meet at Riyadh Air Metropolitano, in a match for the 7th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 7 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 3 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the UEFA Champions League, on 12‑03‑2025, Real Madrid won by (2‑4), after a penalti shootout. Conor Gallagher (1' ) scored the only goal of the match. Atlético registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Atlético

After 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, the home team is in the 8th position, havinf won 9 points so far. In the last match, they have won at home against Rayo Vallecano by (3‑2), after in the previous match they have tied (1‑1) an away match against Mallorca. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 12 conceded. Atlético has won 7, tied 1 and lost 2 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 5 of the last 6 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in all of the last 6 matches for this competition. They have conceded the first goal in 4 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Diego Simeone's side enter this match after a 3-2 home win over Rayo Vallecano, with Julián Álvarez scoring all three goals. The home side typically plays in a 4-4-2 tactical formation, with two players up front: Julián Álvarez and Antoine Griezmann, whose job is to create panic in the opposing defense. It's no surprise that Atlético Madrid will adopt a slightly more defensive stance, given their slightly lower-quality squad. José María Giménez and Thiago Almada will be out of this match, both with fitness issues.

Confirmed Lineup: Jan Oblak, Clément Lenglet, Llorente, Robin Le Normand, Dávid Hancko, Koke, P. Rivas, Alexander Sørloth, Nicolás González, Giuliano Simeone Baldini, Julián Álvarez.
Coach: D. Simeone.

Analysis Real Madrid

The away team is currently in the 1st position of the league, with 18 points won, after 6 wins. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Espanyol, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Levante, by (1‑4). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in away matches, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium, with 28 goals scored and 17 conceded. In the last 10 away matches Real Madrid has won 7 and lost 3.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 6 wins in the last matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 6 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 23 of the last 33 matches have ended with Over 2,5 goals. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 12 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in front in 9 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 11 of them.

Real Madrid enters this match motivated after a 1-4 victory at Levante, with the team's goals coming from Vinícius Júnior, Franco Mastantuono, and Kylian Mbappé (2). The visiting team typically plays in a 4-3-3 formation, with three forwards: Franco Mastantuono, Kylian Mbappé, and Vinícius Júnior. In this formation, the three players who will occupy the central area of ​​the pitch are Federico Valverde, Aurélien Tchouaméni, and Arda Güler, with the former responsible for providing the best support for his teammates up front. Coach Xabi Alonso is expected to be without Trent Alexander-Arnold and Antonio Rüdiger, who are currently sidelined by the medical department.

Confirmed Lineup: Thibaut Courtois, Carvajal, Álvaro Fernández, Dean Donny Huijsen, Éder Militão, Federico Valverde, Jude Bellingham, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Vinícius Júnior, Kylian Mbappé.
Coach: C. Ancelotti.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Atlético vs Real Madrid match, on 27 September 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Atlético vs Real Madrid on 27 September 2025 will be played at Madrid, Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

 

Primera División - 2025/2026

  • 18% 70 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 47.14%
  • Draws 28.57%
  • Away team wins 24.29%
  • Over 1.5 81.43%
  • Over 2.5 45.71%
  • Over 3.5 22.86%
  • Goals 185
  • Goals /match 2.64
  • Goals /match home 1.51
  • Goals /match away 1.13
  • Both teams score 57.14%
  • Goals after 80' 16.76%
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