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Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario for this match will be several goals. It's true that we're expecting an even match, but both teams have a habit of putting on good shows, with their attacks easily overpowering their defences. It's also worth noting that the "Over 2 Goals" market has won 67 per cent of Real Sociedad's home games.
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Preview
Real Sociedad and Vallecano face at Anoeta Stadium, in a match for the 8th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 3, tied 2 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Copa del Rey, on 16‑01‑2025, Real Sociedad won by (3‑1). Jon Ander Olasagasti (45' ), Mikel Oyarzabal (24' ) and Sergio Gómez (79' ) scored for Real Sociedad and Óscar Trejo (45' ) for Vallecano. Real Sociedad registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Real Sociedad

The home team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 5 points won, after 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Mallorca, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against FC Barcelona, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded; against 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Real Sociedad has won 3, tied 3 and lost 4. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 6 of the last 7 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 6 of the last 7 matches for this competition. They haven't been able to score the first goal. In fact, they have only opened up the score in 3 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 1 of those 3 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 15 matches, and have never been able to turn the score around.

Real Sociedad come into this match demotivated after a 2-1 defeat at Barcelona: the team's only goal was scored by Álvaro Odriozola. The home side usually play a 4-3-3 tactical system, giving more importance to a style of play that involves constant transitions. In this design, the three most advanced men should be Ander Barrenetxea, Mikel Oyarzabal and Takefusa Kubo. Orri Óskarsson, Jon Martín and Iñaki Rupérez are all out injured.

Confirmed Lineup: Álex Remiro, Jon Aramburu, Sergio Gómez, Igor Zubeldia, Duje Caleta-Car, Jon Gorrotxategi, Carlos Soler, Brais Méndez, Ander Barrenetxea, Mikel Oyarzabal , Gonçalo Guedes.
Coach: I. Alguacil Barrenetxea.

Analysis Vallecano

The away team is currently in the 15th position of the league, with 5 points won, after 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Atlético Madrid, by (3‑2). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Sevilla, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the Europa Conference League, they got a home win against Skendija 79 by (2‑0). In the last 4 away league matches Vallecano has a record of 1 win and 3 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 12 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 6 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Rayo Vallecano go into this clash motivated after a 2-0 win over Shkendija in a Conference match. Last time out in La Liga, the visitors lost 0-1 to Sevilla. The away side usually play in a 4-3-3 tactical formation, where they favour quick attacks and crosses into the opponent's penalty area. In this system, the three players who occupy more advanced areas are Álvaro García, Jorge de Frutos and Alemão. In any case, it's important to emphasise that the visitors have some weaknesses in their back line. Sergio Camello is out through injury, as is Dani Cárdenas, who has a physical problem.

Confirmed Lineup: Augusto Batalla, Pep Chavarría, Florian Lejeune, Andrei Rațiu, Óscar Valentín , Unai López, Pathé Ciss, Alexandre Zurawski, Álvaro García, Jorge de Frutos, Isi Palazón.
Coach: F. Rodríguez Vílchez.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Real Sociedad vs Vallecano match, on 5 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Handicap, Over 2 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Real Sociedad vs Vallecano on 5 October 2025 will be played at San Sebastián, Anoeta Stadium.

 

Primera División - 2025/2026

  • 23% 89 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 46.07%
  • Draws 26.97%
  • Away team wins 26.97%
  • Over 1.5 80.9%
  • Over 2.5 48.31%
  • Over 3.5 23.6%
  • Goals 235
  • Goals /match 2.64
  • Goals /match home 1.47
  • Goals /match away 1.17
  • Both teams score 58.43%
  • Goals after 80' 18.72%
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