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Nacional Cerro Largo betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Nacional take on Cerro Largo, with the home side on a roll and firmly in the lead, while the visitors are trying to avoid a deepening crisis. Nacional have a good balance between defence and attack and are almost unbeatable at home. That's why the best bet is to back Nacional to win in the first half, as they should impose their pace and maintain their good run of form.
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Preview
Nacional and Cerro Largo face at Estadio Gran Parque Central, in a match for the 10th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 5 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 2 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, on 06‑04‑2024, Nacional won by (1‑0). G. Báez (32' ) scored the only goal of the match. Cerro Largo registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Nacional

After 20 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 2nd position, havinf won 20 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Juventud by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have won (3‑1) at home, against Liverpool. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 30 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 34 goals scored and 12 conceded.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 14 home matches. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 12 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 12 of their 32 matches for this competition, but have been able to turn the score around in 5.

Nacional come into the Clausura with pace and confidence, consolidating themselves as a solid contender for top spot. At home, the team is practically unbeatable, boasting impressive numbers that reflect tactical organisation and attacking intensity. This consistency makes the club a feared opponent, capable of controlling the game from start to finish. With key players in good form, the team shows a balance between defence and attack, becoming a model of efficiency. Every match at their stadium reinforces the confidence of the squad and the fans, keeping their ambition for the top of the Clausura alive.

Confirmed Lineup: L. Mejía, D. Romero, S. Coates, E. Ancheta, J. Millán, A. dos Santos, L. Rodríguez, L. Boggio, Nicolás Lodeiro, Maximiliano Gómez, Nicolás López.
Coach: M. Lasarte Arrospide.

Analysis Cerro Largo

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 9 wins, 11 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Montevideo City Torque, by (1‑0). In the last match, they lost in a home match against Peñarol, by (1‑3). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Cerro Largo has a record of 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (8 out of 15 matches). Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 31 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 15 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (61'‑75'); they have conceded 6 of their 16 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Cerro Largo come into this round of the Clausura under pressure, with falling numbers and shaken confidence after two consecutive defeats. The squad urgently needs to find some stability, both mentally and tactically, to avoid sinking even lower in the table. The challenge becomes even greater as they face the mighty Nacional, who arrive on the front foot and buoyed by their excellent results at home. Every mistake will potentially be exploited, and the team will need creativity and discipline to withstand the pressure. The mission is clear: to recover points and morale before the situation becomes critical.

Confirmed Lineup: Gino Santilli, Facundo Parada, Cristian González, Lautaro Vázquez, Lucas Correa, Facundo Bonifazi, Mauro Alejandro Brasil Alcaire, Alan Di Pippa, Sebastián Assís , Nicolás Bertocchi, Franco Rossi.
Coach: M. Saralegui Iriarte.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Nacional vs Cerro Largo match, on 4 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy Nigeria, goes to: Nacional wins at half time ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Nacional vs Cerro Largo on 4 October 2025 will be played at Montevideo, Estadio Gran Parque Central.

Tipsters at Betting Academy Nigeria are divided as for the surest bet for the Nacional Cerro Largo match, on the "match odds" market. All selections of this market have the same vote percentage. Share your tip and vote to break the tie!

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 94% 257 / 273 Games

  • Home team wins 38.13%
  • Draws 36.96%
  • Away team wins 24.9%
  • Over 1.5 66.54%
  • Over 2.5 42.8%
  • Over 3.5 19.84%
  • Goals 599
  • Goals /match 2.33
  • Goals /match home 1.32
  • Goals /match away 1.01
  • Both teams score 49.42%
  • Goals after 80' 19.53%
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